📉 Lower prices for industrial metals will have a negative impact on the Australian dollar, as Australia is among the world's leading exporters of these metals.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit AUDUSD 0.6704, take profit 0.6656.

#gbpjpy #short

GBP/JPY H1 Sell 163.09
SL 163.79
TP 161.42

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❗️На Лондонской бирже металлов сложилась беспрецедентная ситуация – в течение последних 9 месяцев запас серебра, хранящийся в хранилищах LBMA, сокращался каждый месяц и в настоящее время достиг рекордно низкого уровня.

🧮Институт серебра подсчитал, что годовой объем добычи серебра в мире в этом году составит всего 26262 тонны. Таким образом, в хранилищах LBMA с 28506 тоннами сейчас хранится чуть больше годового запаса серебра.

📈Такая ситуация может вызвать ралли в серебре и снижение котировок к ближайшим уровням поддержки целесообразно использовать для покупок.

👉 Инвестиционная идея: buy limit XAGUSD 19.145, take profit 19.900.

🇺🇸🇯🇵Доходность американских 2- летних государственных облигаций достигла максимума с сентября 2007 года, что благоприятно для роста котировок USDJPY, поскольку разница в доходностях между американскими и японскими бумагами настолько большая, что не оставляет трейдерам иного выбора, как покупать доллар.

👉 Инвестиционная идея: buy limit USDJPY 143.28, take profit 143.79.

❗️The London Metal Exchange is in an unprecedented situation - over the past 9 months, the stock of silver stored in the LBMA vaults has been declining every month and is at an all-time low.

🧮The Silver Institute has calculated that the annual production of silver in the world this year will be only 26,262 tons. Thus, the LBMA vaults with 28,506 tons hold a little more than a year's supply of silver.

📈This situation can cause a rally in silver and a decrease to the nearest support levels should be used for Buy position.

👉 Investment idea: buy limit XAGUSD 19.145, take profit 19.900.

🇺🇸🇯🇵US 2-year government bond yields hit their highest since September 2007, which is good for USDJPY quotes as the yield gap between US and Japanese bonds is so large that it leaves traders no choice but to buy the dollar.

👉 Investment idea: buy limit USDJPY 143.28, take profit 143.79.

📉 ADX and Bollinger Bands technical indicators show the development of an uptrend in the DAX30 stock index.

📊The target of the movement will be a renewal of this year's low located at 12371.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit #DAX30 12588, take profit 12371.

🧮According to Gas Infrastructure Europe, EU countries need to fill storage facilities with another 12 billion m³, but with the most favorable outcome, Europeans will be able to pump 9 billion m³. But even this scenario can only be realized if American and Australian energy companies can increase the supply of liquefied natural gas.

📊Thus, we expect high demand for blue fuel in the next few weeks, which forces consumers to increase gas prices. Price competition between Europe and Asia is now very high, forcing all consumers to raise energy prices.

👉Investment idea: buy limit #GAS 7.825, take profit 8.5200.

🇺🇸The yield of US 10-year government bonds broke through a forty-year downtrend and rushed up, which is negative for the precious metals market.

📉We expect gold to decline to the nearest support level of 1655.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit XAUUSD 1676, take profit 1655.

The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday evening, as expected, raised the discount rate by 0.75% and promised to raise the rate by another 1.25% by the end of the year.

🤵 ‍ ♂ ️“My main message is that the FOMC is determined to reduce inflation,” Powell said during a press conference.

Further aggressive growth in interest rates is negative for the US stock market.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit #NQ100 11611, take profit 11450.

📉 ETHUSD has fallen by 28.6% over the past 10 days.

The downtrend is gaining momentum and the breakdown of the support level of 1216 allows us to count on a decline in quotations in the area of 1122.

👉 Investment idea: sell ETHUSD 1210, take profit 1122

September 22th

USDJPY Buy position
Support levels: 144.98 – 144.27
Resistance levels: 145.56 – 146.01

#SP500 Sell position
Support levels: 3737 – 3659
Resistance levels: 3810– 3868

The US Federal Reserve has published fresh statistics on the American banking system.

💰 Dollar liquidity decreased by $154.9 billion over the past week, which is negative for the US stock market.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit #SP500 3766, take profit 3722.

🇨🇳The Central Bank of China continues the smooth devaluation of the yuan.

The geopolitical confrontation with the United States is gaining momentum. The depreciation of the yuan is favorable for the growth of incomes of Chinese exporters and negative for the incomes of American corporations.

👉Investment idea: buy limit USDCNH 7.1005, take profit 7.1455.

The British composite PMI index, which includes business activity in industry and services, is below 50 points for the second month in a row, which signals an approaching economic crisis in the United Kingdom.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit GBPJPY 160.31, take profit 159.43

September 26th

GBPUSD Sell position
Support levels: 1.0615 – 1.0513
Resistance levels: 1.0690 – 1.0785

#DAX30 Sell position
Support levels: 12087 – 11920
Resistance levels: 12310 – 12489

👑 The price of gold is strongly influenced by several factors, one of the key ones is the real yield of US 10-year government bonds. Only for calculations it is necessary to use not current inflation in the States, but inflation expectations over a 10-year horizon, which are published monthly by Michigan State University - this is a common practice in financial markets.

🧮The rule here is simple: the higher the real yield, the cheaper gold, and vice versa. The current yield is 1.35% - the yield of the Treasuries themselves is growing rapidly, while inflation expectations are rising slowly. As a result, we get a positive difference, which has been increasing for the last six months. Since real yields hit a new high since 2011, gold has a high chance of falling by 5-10% and testing the $1,500 per ounce mark in the medium term.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit XAUUSD 1641, take profit 1614

🇺🇸The yield of US two-year government bonds reached a 15-year high, which is favorable for the growth of the dollar.

👉Investment idea: buy limit USDJPY 143.44, take profit 144.02.

🛢 Oil reserves in the US strategic reserve have fallen by a minimum since 1984.

📊 The strategic reserve is smaller than commercial crude oil reserves. The last time such a situation was observed more than 40 years ago, and then this event led to an increase in oil purchases in the strategic reserve.

The United States will increase oil purchases, which is favorable for the growth of oil prices.

👉 Investment idea: buy limit #WTI 77.08, take profit 78.76

📈Industrial metals are in good demand, which is favorable for the Australian dollar, as Australia is among the world's leading exporters of these metals.

👉Investment idea: buy limit AUDUSD 0.6433, take profit 0.6490.

September 29th

USDJPY Buy position
Support levels: 144.37 – 143.70
Resistance levels: 145.38 – 146.07

XAUUSD Sell position
Support levels: 1625.44 – 1605.47
Resistance levels: 1653.60 – 1668.41