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The Azerbaijani Ministry of Defense announced the start of a military operation in Karabakh region. A new war is about to start 🇦🇲🇦🇿
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?hl=es&mid=19gp0qYIkynvVfj_cmKMJUuUVDtm7m5k&ll=39.984428496255546%2C46.880453079207314&z=7 ]
Some have asked why the Karabakh war is still being talked about if it lasted only one day. It is true that after one day of fighting there was a ceasefire and negotiations. However, during the following hours this ceasefire was violated several times and further deaths of soldiers on both sides occurred, so it is not incorrect to say that the war is over.
Currently the Azeri army is entering Karabakh localities without resistance after the Artsakh defence forces withdrew from these positions.
This is the fate of the majority of the Armenian population of Karabakh, who will be heading towards Armenia in the coming weeks.
This is a new demographic shift, in which a territory will lose its oldest inhabitants.
It is sad to witness such developments once again and in such a short time (remember that such demographic changes are also taking place in Ukraine). Extreme nationalism encourages the homogenisation of the population for greater stability, but this leads to the loss of the cultural diversity with which states are formed. It cannot be denied that Azerbaijan does not have the right to recover a territory that is internationally recognised as its own (the result of a bad design of the borders of the Soviet space which, like Ukraine, generated these conflicts after the dissolution of the USSR). But neither can it be denied that this land has not belonged to the Armenian population for centuries. Conflict between the two peoples seems to be inevitable, as contemporary history has shown us, and only force of arms seems to be the only tool that can tip the balance to one side or the other.
The conflict will continue after Karabakh and this time it will be on official Armenian soil, yet another stage in the cyclical tension that the Caucasus and its inhabitants are traditionally familiar with.
Airborne troops along with a former Wagner assault force entered the village of Veseloye, located north of Soledar. An intense and tough battle is underway. Artillery and drones of all kinds work successfully. Ours are making progress.

There are also further successes in Orekhovo-Vasilievka where former Wagner fighters fight together with VDV units. They advance further into the village. The fighting is slowly but surely approaching the western part of the settlement.
The move by the United Kingdom, a NATO member country, to send troops to Ukraine represents a new challenge to the existing tension in the international framework between Russia and the West. While it is true that military troops from Western countries were unofficially in this country, now we have a country that will officially send troops. The Russian response will most likely be to attack any convoy of these soldiers, alluding to the illegality of the entry of a NATO army into a neutral state or one that does not belong to any military bloc. If these decisions are repeated with other NATO countries it will confirm that the conflict is sadly heading for a new stage of escalation.
During the last few months a lot of data has appeared regarding the total number of casualties in the Ukrainian conflict on both sides. It is better to be cautious in believing these numbers, some of them quite overestimated and oscillating, as it will be very difficult to get a reliable number until the war is not over. It is also important to note that some data includes both fatal and non-fatal casualties making the numbers quite high. One should even be reluctant to believe the numbers provided by the Ministries of Defense as well as those alleged NATO documents that appeared several months ago.
Being conservative and cautious what can be affirmed is that the conflict has already claimed more than one hundred thousand deaths making it one of the deadliest conflicts in the world in the 21st century and the largest in Europe since the Yugoslav wars. Moreover, it is interesting to see how this conflict is looking more and more like a war of attrition similar to the great war in which a great amount of resources are consumed in an attempt to make small advances on a broad front of approximately 950 kilometers in length. But it is also interesting to note the balance of forces that is gradually being achieved between the Ukrainian forces (losing more troops in proportion to their counterpart) and the Russians (arrival of mobilized forces, mercenaries and recruits). if this trend continues, we may be approaching a turning point in the conflict that will be reflected in the events of the year 2024. 🇷🇺🇺🇦
Russian Army restarted offensive operations on northeastern front (another attempt to capture Syn'kivka/Синьківка concretely)
Russian Army launched new attack north of Soledar and it's advancing northwest of Berestove/Берест.
Russian Army has started a huge attack in the front of Avdivka/Авдіївка this morning preceded by intensive bombardment during the last few days. Let us remember that the city is a very important bastion for the Ukrainian army as it allows it to maintain a continuous bombardment on the city of Donetsk, which has been a headache for the Donetsk People's Republic during these almost ten years of conflict. The capture of Avdivka would mean an end to this almost daily shelling. However, the battle will not be easy for the Russian army, as it requires a considerable number of troops to carry out the enveloping movement that forces the Ukrainian withdrawal from this place. Direct assaults are useless in the face of the enormous amount of fortifications present within the locality, so we will witness fighting on the outskirts from the north, south and east after the arrival of numerous reinforcements to the region in recent weeks, reinforcements that had hardly taken place previously in an axis where the Russian forces, and more specifically the Republican militias have been in a minority with respect to the Ukrainian side. To see Wagner's troops in this front will allow us to know if it is the second Bakhmut that was so much predicted.
The attack of Russian Army north and south of Avdivka/Авдіївка continue with high intensity. Troops are making advances but they are smaller than some maps shows. Actually the clashes are closer to the Stepove/Степове rather than Berdychi/Бердичі. As it was said previously, the battle is difficult and it won't be easy to advance.
Situation at Gaza strip [2/11/2023]:
IDF reached Al-Rasheed Street and the sea from the southern axis thus cutting all supply routes to the city of Gaza, which is now surrounded. Moreover, israeli troops continue advancing in the rest of the axis taking new positions at the northern border, where clashes are taking place close to Um Al-Nasser; Al-Tawam neighborhood and Bait Hanoun.
IDF advances were fast and covered by big aerial strikes. However, while the ground is being taken, the tunnel system remains intacted and Palestinian groups are implementing guerrilla tactics to inflict causalties on IDF ranks. The urban battle to take Gaza will be bloody and difficult for Israeli troops, a fact that is already affecting the reputation of the Prime Minister Netanyahu. 🇵🇸🇮🇱
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?hl=es&mid=1SrPdIEnbc9pLZIL_nD02rfOGiUuAboc&ll=31.5055046378002%2C34.46764633080613&z=12 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 623:
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army advanced along the frontline and northwest of Krasnohorivka/Красногорівка. The distance between Russian positions north and south of the city is now 6,5 Km.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.15496256090386%2C37.71088377071665&z=12 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 638
Situation south of Avdivka: Russian Army broke Ukrainian army defenses of 2014 and took control over Donetsk filtration station (Донецька фільтрувальна станція).
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.12620639479311%2C37.79004079208008&z=14 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 643:
Situation north of Bakhmut: Russian Army reentered in Khromove/Хромове after troops retook control over the northern hills.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.60359144173142%2C37.958162386886684&z=14 ]
Today the operations of combing the urban area of Avdivka were completed, consolidating Russian control over it. There are still operations at the Coke plant to the north. In the following days the troops that participated in the operation will begin to move to different axes to resume offensive operations. A high caliber offensive should not be expected. Let us remember that the war of attrition continues and will continue this year. However, the capture of the city of Avdivka will release a large number of troops that will relatively accelerate Russian advances on the eastern front. The main current fronts are the following.
- West of Avdivka, where Russian troops will continue their offensive to create a buffer zone around the city until they reach the first Ukrainian defensive lines. Possibly they will be supported from the Pervomaiske axis where they will continue to advance slowly.
- The west and southwest of the city of Donetsk: the progress to Kurakhovo will continue during the rest of the year. Battles will be similar to Marinka, so no major changes are expected. Different is the situation further south, as the future seizure of Pobjeda will allow Russian forces to reach the north of Kostyantynivka precipitating a small collapse of Ukrainian troops that will end up withdrawing from Paraskoviivka and Novomykhailivka. The salient around Ugledar would be significantly reduced, but not in a critical situation for the Ukrainian troops who would continue to be in an advantageous position because of the open and flat terrain. It is possible that taken Kostyantynivka will begin in turn a process towards Uspenivka parallel to Kurakhovo. It is worth noting the small advances between Velyka Novosilka and Pavlivka during the last few days. The Russian army is starting to work on the recovery of positions lost during the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the summer of 2023, from Donetsk to Zaporizhia. A limited offensive but which in the first mentioned sector would aim to seize the Zolota Nyva-Prechystivka-Pavlivka line to put pressure on the Ukrainian troops in Ugledar as well.
- On the northwestern and Luhansk front the slow advance towards the Zerebets and then Oskil rivers will continue. There is talk that the next objective will be Kupyansk. It is true that it is one of the cities set for the Russian army. However, the necessary conditions for the entry into the first districts of the city have not yet been met. The fight for Syn'kivka continues unchanged and despite the change of strategy and officers on this front the Russian forces are still not prevailing.
- Bakhmut front: this front regained importance in the last months when the Russian troops managed to regain all the lost territory in summer 2023 and advance towards Chasiv Yar taking the Popivske area. The localities of Bohdanivka and Ivanivske are the last obstacle to reach the channel, leaving the Russian troops in position for a future assault on the city of Chasiv Yar and the unblocking of the situation around Klishchiivka.
The war is entering its third year and sadly will continue indefinitely, producing more irreparable human losses.
Russian Army attacks in Zaporozhye
Rusia attacks in 5 directions
Israel situation