Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 731:
Situation west of Avdivka: Russian Army took full control over Lastochkyne. With the capture of the village, the situation of the Ukrainian army in Sjeverne has become more complicated, and the troops have practically withdrawn from this locality as well.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.15222260098852%2C37.657472196464624&z=12 ]

Russian troops are now storming Tonenke. The momentum after the fall of Avdivka has not stopped and the Russian army is taking advantage of the Ukrainian withdrawal to seize control of the towns to the west until it reaches the Ukrainian defence line. The situation of the Ukrainian army is worrying, as it is losing personnel at the cost of holding on to frontline positions for a short time before being forced to abandon them. The smart thing to do would be to withdraw to the defence line between Karlivske Reservoir and Ocheretyne and from there shell the attacking Russian forces, which would advance slowly through the abandoned area under Ukrainian artillery and drone fire. This technique was used by the Russian army during the successful Ukrainian offensive in Kharkov. Outnumbered and outgunned, Russian troops withdrew beyond the Oskil River to build a new line of defence around the Svatove heights. Ukrainian troops seized a large area on this bank of the river. However, they were unable to advance any further.
The reasons for this decision may possibly lie in the frictions in the Ukrainian manod after Zaluznhy's dismissal and the Ukrainian government's need to avoid territorial losses as a bargaining chip for new aid packages.

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 733:
Situation west of Avdvika: Russian Army continue the advance towards Tonenke, taking control over the western forest belt; and Orlivka, aproaching to Churylovskyi Pond.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.15909406844384%2C37.64906542567116&z=12 ]

Following the arrival of reinforcements, Ukrainian army has managed to temporarily stabilise the Avdvika front around the first line of defence. The aim of these offensive operations is to buy time to improve the second line defences.

🇪🇺🇺🇦🇷🇺 A map of the possible deployment of a NATO military contingent in Ukraine has appeared on the Internet, if such a decision is made by the members of the alliance.

According to the authors of this map, international forces can be prioritized in the northwestern direction (border with Belarus).

Odessa will be "taken" under the control of soldiers from Romania, Bulgaria and Moldova.

The topic of deploying foreign troops in Ukraine is actively discussed in the West, where it does not meet with much approval.

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 742:
Situation on Zaporizhia front: During the last week Russian Army made significant advances northwest of Verbove taking control over the rest of Surovikin line out of control. In addition, troops advanced westwards in order to reduce the salient and reach Robotyne from the east.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.43787946618325%2C35.86836989708309&z=13 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 743:
Situation west of Avdivka: During the last two days Russian Army advanced south of Orlivka reaching the dam of Zorianskyi Pond and the plantations adjacent to the northern part of Tonenke (what is called "the garden") where clashes with Ukrainian Army are taking place.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.16418109021857%2C37.67023749086487&z=12 ]

The latest advances made by Russian Army inside Pervomaiske were relatively easy. It seems that big part of Ukrainian forces stationed there withdrew to the western edge of the locality. However, it's premature to say that the center was taken.

Situation in Syria as of March 2024:🇸🇾
During the last few weeks the SAA has increased attacks in the Idlib and Aleppo region against rebel and terrorist groups' positions. Important the intensive use of suicide drones that have claimed the lives of many militants. Attacks are expected to increase progressively thanks to the arrival of new drones and the start of a domestic production of these.
It is these weapons that will also represent a change in the combing operations in the desert against ISIS terrorists, although this will take more time. In the meantime, such operations will continue to have very limited results, restricting fully effective control along roads and checkpoints in the region, while the depths of the desert will remain the terrorists' lair and launching point for their raids.

Lately, threats of an open confrontation with Russia have begun to flourish among European leaders, who warn that it will soon be necessary to prepare for war.
Honestly, the time for such a scenario is a long way off. Russia has no intention of advancing in a field other than the Ukrainian one. The entry of Finland and Sweden has stopped any attempt to expand its influence in this region, leaving only Belarus as an ally.
A war against Russia would be highly unpopular and highly costly, considering the economic problems and productive shortcomings of the European states to carry out considerable rearmament, conscription tasks and a war economy.
On the other hand, there is the nuclear threat. This option is not contemplated either, nuclear weapons will continue to be the deterrent weapon that will prevent a global conflict.
Despite all this. It is inevitable to think about the possibility of a war in the future. The decision is in the hands of political leaders and not of individuals. In case they want to convince the people, the excuse of "defense of democracy and European values" will not be enough. Avoiding a major conflict should be the goal of all leaders. Hence, diplomacy should be the main procedure to achieve peace in conflicts. However, and frankly, diplomacy is far from being the protagonist in the Ukrainian conflict.

The capture of Ivanivske is a turning point on the front south and west of Bakhmut. Remember that the Ukrainian offensive last summer succeeded in recapturing a large part of the positions east of the canal, including the high ground between Ivanivske and Klishchiivka, which allowed the recapture of Klishchiivka, Andriivka and the railroad, which served as a natural border until autumn, when after heavy Ukrainian attrition Russian forces seized the initiative, recapturing several areas west of the railroad and resuming the advance west of Ivanivske. While on the latter axis the Russian army has been remarkably successful in the south, it has been unable to recapture the lost canal area, suffering heavy losses at the cost of small gains. The reason for this lies in the earlier loss of the high ground, which allows Ukrainian troops to have an advantage in monitoring Russian troops in the area, being able to repel attacks effectively and thanks to the extensive use of drones (consequently the Russians have also significantly increased the number of operational drones here).

The capture of Ivanivske meant the possibility of taking the high ground and the trench systems present there (1) while the capture of Mount Baba would allow Russian forces to reach the canal on that axis (2). After the loss of the heights, the Ukrainian army would be forced to withdraw from Klishchiivka and the rest of the eastern bank of the canal (3). As a result, the canal would become a new natural barrier reinforced by trenches on its western bank. Depending on the development of the axis north of Bakhmut (Bohdanivka-Kalinina-Hryhorivka) the Russian army will eventually cross the canal to Stupochky, from where it will begin to assault Chasiv Yar from the south as it approaches the outskirts of Kostiantynivka. While Russian forces could accomplish the former during the spring, the latter is still many months away.

Armenian troops begin to send reinforcements towards the Azerbaijani border in preparation for a possible future attack by Azerbaijan. Azeri threats have not been met politically and it is possible that the Azeri army will try to take the disputed localities by force. Armenia's situation is not good, increasingly isolated and with a policy of distancing itself from the Russian orbit. Its army is not sufficiently capable of dealing with Azerbaijani forces heavily armed by Turkey. We are no longer talking about Karabakh, which was not internationally recognised as Armenian territory, but about a more defined border, where Azeri claims would not necessarily coincide with the territory seized. At the moment approximately 107 square kilometres of Armenian land is occupied by Azerbaijan.
Time will tell whether we will see a new war in the Caucasus. It is important to note that the claims began at the end of last year. Diplomacy is slow and diffuse.🇦🇲🇦🇿

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 770:
Situation southwest of Donetsk: During the last three days Russian Army has increased the pressure over Ukrainian Army deployed in Novomykhailivka following the advance from the north, were new forest belt was taken; and from the south, where troops took full control over the trench system. It is important to note that the advances are taking place along two heights whose capture will cause the withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from the locality and seriously endanger the supply route to Ugledar from the south of Kostyantynivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.86194063220082%2C37.474767825499754&z=14 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 774:
Situation east of Chasov Yar: Russian Army took control over 85% of Bohdanivka after Ukrainian Army were forces to retreat from most of the locality following Russian attacks from north and southeast (forest). Only some houses in the south and the warehouses (fortified area) remains under Ukrainian control.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.6013082664395%2C37.90482353951961&z=13 ]

Predictably, the axis of resistance has also launched simultaneous attacks on Israel from Syria, Lebanon and Yemen. The aim is to maximize the chances of success of the Iranian attack, which will probably use ballistic missiles 🇮🇱🇮🇷🇮🇶🇱🇧🇸🇾

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 794:
Situation north and west of Avdivka: Russian Army took full control over the locality of Berdichy as the last Ukrainian soldiers retreated westwards. On the other hand Russian forces took control over new trenchs east of Ocheretyne and south of Novokalynove. In this locality Russian troops took control the central part and forced Ukrainian Army to retreat northwards to the trench systems. Also retreat took place from the center of Keramik.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.22298891807117%2C37.64743309071328&z=12 ]

As a curiosity: The Russian spearhead is located 24 kilometers from the 2014 front line in Avdivka and only 26 kilometers from Pokrovsk. However, this is not the Russian priority target for now....